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Matt - VIP TOTD x12 + ANALYSIS (19th September)
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TIP OF THE DAY - Czechia First League - 19th September [14:00]
Slovan Liberec to Win
Odds of 1.61
Slovan and Artis have had a complete opposite start to the season! Liberec have won 6 out of 8 drawing 1 whilst Artis have LOST 6 out of 8 drawing 1!
Artis have lost their last two home games to Czech heavyweights Plzen and Sparta Prague 3-0 and 4-0. I expect Slovan to also be able to get 3 points on the road here, having got 19 points from their opening 8 games they are only one point off of Slavia Prague at the top!
TIP OF THE DAY #2 - Sweden Allsvenskan - 19th September [16:30]
Sirius & Over 1.5 Goals
Odds of 1.68
Sirius are flying at the top of the Swedish league and face an Orgryte side here who look destined for relegation after losing most of their games this season. Sirius' 21 games this season have featured 87 goals so it's relatively safe to say that if they win this one it's unlikely to be just 1-0, especially with Orgryte conceding more than 2 goals on average EVERY game.
TIP OF THE DAY #3 - Serbia Super Liga - 19th September [16:00]
Vojvodina to Win
Odds of 1.70
Vojvodina are looking like pushing Red Star all the way this season for the title. After Red Star got a dramatic late winner on Thursday Vojvodina will look to continue their fine form and pick up a 5th win in a row! Novi Belgrade haven't won away from home in a while whilst Vojvodina have won all of their recent home games.
At these odds I think a home win is a really nice pick given that when playing at home recently we have seen Vojvodina priced as low as 1.20! I am more than happy to take 1.70 here!
TIP OF THE DAY #4 - England League 2 - 19th September [12:30]
Walsall Draw No Bet
Odds of 1.72
Walsall are still unbeaten in the league after 6 games (albeit they have drawn 4 of their matches) whilst Port Vale sit in 22nd place after only winning one game (their last game against Exeter). They don't travel well, they have lost all 3 away games this season and have only scored once whilst Walsall represent a tough test after beating Accrington Stanley at home priced similarly to this match.
I think it's very unlikely that Port Vale go to Walsall and win so taking the Draw No Bet option at these odds is a no brainer for me. I did consider the outright win at 2.45 but the added security makes me feel better about taking this tip!
TIP OF THE DAY #5 - Italy Serie A - 19th September [14:00]
Bologna to Win
Odds of 1.90
Bologna actually sit below Torino in the league haven't lost 3 of their opening 4 games. However, this doesn't tell the full story. Bologna have been extremely unlucky so far this season and were only really deservedly beaten in their last game against Napoli, they were unlucky to lose the others and should have more than the point they've got to show for it.
Torino on the other hand have got much more what they deserve in relation to their performances and I think with Bologna being at home it's about time they get what they deserve and get a massive 3 points to take into the International break to help them kickstart their season!
HIGH ODDS TIP OF THE DAY - England Premier League - 19th September [15:00]
Arsenal & Under 4.5 Goals
Odds of 2.00
This stands to be one of Arsenal's hardest tests so far this season with Brighton scoring more goals than anyone else in the league! However, you know the saying: "Attack wins matches, Defence wins trophies". All of Arsenal's league wins this season have gone Under 3.5 Goals due to Arsenal's incredible defence. Whilst I think it's possible Brighton score, until it happens it's hard to see Arsenal conceding more than once.
On top of that, given how fluid Arsenal have looked this season going forward I think it's logical to expect at least 2 goals from the Gunners, but even if this is a 1-0 win the tip still flies in. 19 of the last 20 meetings between the 2 sides have gone under 4.5 Goals so it seems worth the risk to add that to an Arsenal Win if you think the gunners take the 3 points here.
HIGH ODDS TIP OF THE DAY #2 - Portugal Primeira Liga - 19th September [20:30]
Sporting Win to nil
Odds of 2.00
Arouca have picked up some decent results this season but will struggle going up against one of the best teams in Portugal here. The only parallel we can draw from their recent games to this one is when they played Porto, in which they lost 2-0. I think we can expect a similar outcome here. Sporting are far superior and are at home. With this being the last game before the international break I expect there to be no trouble when it comes to picking up the 3 points and keeping a clean sheet in the process, which MASSIVELY bumps up the odds of Sporting winning from 1.19 to evens!
HIGH ODDS TIP OF THE DAY #3 - Germany Bundesliga - 19th September [17:30]
Borussia Dortmund Double Chance & BTTS
Odds of 2.00
I think we can use the fact that Dortmund are the underdogs here to our advantage! I think it's VERY likely that both teams score here given their combined firepower but Dortmund have been pretty much FLAWLESS this season whilst Stuttgart have had their ups and downs. Dortmund have won all their 3 league games whilst Stuttgart have lost twice.
Drtmund also didn't lose to Stuttgart last season so I think there is a lot of value in taking the likely BTTS option and adding it to Dortmund not to lose given they haven't lost all season (Except to Bayern in the Cup Final which they arguably could have drawn also)!
HIGH ODDS TIP OF THE DAY #4 - England Championship - 19th September [12:30]
West Ham & Over 1.5 Goals
Odds of 2.05
This is a fierce derby and promsises to be a fiesty one! At the end of the day West Ham have a better team than Millwall and honestly every other team in the Championship to be honest. Millwall threw away a 2 goal lead against Middlesbrough in the last game whilst West Ham beat Wrexham 6-0!
Honestly I seriously considered West Ham & Over 2.5 Goals at odds of 2.50 but I thought I'd keep the 2-0 win onside here, West Ham should win this one fairly comfortably and all of their games have featured over 1.5 goals this season so I think adding that to this selection is a no brainer!
HIGH ODDS TIP OF THE DAY #5 - Italy Serie A - 19th September [19:45]
Lazio to Win
Odds of 2.05
This is one of my favourite value picks for the weekend! Lazio have ben picking up wins this season when they've been playing well and even when they've not been playing so well. They face a Venezia side who can't buy a win! They are bottom of the league losing 3 of their 4 league games by MULTIPLE goals! I get that being away from home for Lazio makes it slightly less likely they win but not to the extent the odds here suggest.
I think Lazio to Win away from home at anything above 1.70 odds here against 20th place in the league is a great pick!
HIGH ODDS TIP OF THE DAY #6 - Scotland Premiership - 19th September [15:00]
Aberdeen Double Chance
Odds of 2.10
Aberdeen may have started the season off poorly but losing to Celtic and Rangers is more or less to be expected. I think they are being done a HGUE disservice here by these odds and am not sure why Hibernian are such strong favourites to win this one.
Aberdeen smashed Motherwell 4-0 last time out as underdogs and think to get odds of above evens for them just to not lost is a price worth taking. I'm not saying they're going to come here and batter Hibs but I think they can easily grab at least a point!
These two played back in April in which Aberdeen won 2-0, so it's not crazy to think they can avoid defeat on the road here.
MEGA ODDS TIP OF THE DAY - Spain La Liga - 19th September [20:00]
Barcelona & BTTS
Odds of 2.50
What can we say about Barcelona that hasn't already been said? They are one of the most exciting teams in the world! I thought a 5-2 score prediction against Santander was a decent shout but they did 2 better and won 7-2! They have the best attacking side in the world but consistently pay the price for their high line and style of play. Ultimately it doesn't matter because they simply outscore teams but it's hard to see Barcelona keeping a clean sheet here against Sevilla, a side who are also having a good start to the season and are the home team here.
Sevilla have only lost once this season and that was too Atletico, but they scored in that game as they have done in EVERY game this season. Barcelona have won and conceded in 4 of their last 5 games so think they are a GREAT price to win here and concede at way above evens rather than just taking them to win at a pitiful 1.22 odds!
TIP OF THE DAY - Czechia First League - 19th September [14:00]
Slovan Liberec to Win
Odds of 1.61
Slovan and Artis have had a complete opposite start to the season! Liberec have won 6 out of 8 drawing 1 whilst Artis have LOST 6 out of 8 drawing 1!
Artis have lost their last two home games to Czech heavyweights Plzen and Sparta Prague 3-0 and 4-0. I expect Slovan to also be able to get 3 points on the road here, having got 19 points from their opening 8 games they are only one point off of Slavia Prague at the top!
TIP OF THE DAY #2 - Sweden Allsvenskan - 19th September [16:30]
Sirius & Over 1.5 Goals
Odds of 1.68
Sirius are flying at the top of the Swedish league and face an Orgryte side here who look destined for relegation after losing most of their games this season. Sirius' 21 games this season have featured 87 goals so it's relatively safe to say that if they win this one it's unlikely to be just 1-0, especially with Orgryte conceding more than 2 goals on average EVERY game.
TIP OF THE DAY #3 - Serbia Super Liga - 19th September [16:00]
Vojvodina to Win
Odds of 1.70
Vojvodina are looking like pushing Red Star all the way this season for the title. After Red Star got a dramatic late winner on Thursday Vojvodina will look to continue their fine form and pick up a 5th win in a row! Novi Belgrade haven't won away from home in a while whilst Vojvodina have won all of their recent home games.
At these odds I think a home win is a really nice pick given that when playing at home recently we have seen Vojvodina priced as low as 1.20! I am more than happy to take 1.70 here!
TIP OF THE DAY #4 - England League 2 - 19th September [12:30]
Walsall Draw No Bet
Odds of 1.72
Walsall are still unbeaten in the league after 6 games (albeit they have drawn 4 of their matches) whilst Port Vale sit in 22nd place after only winning one game (their last game against Exeter). They don't travel well, they have lost all 3 away games this season and have only scored once whilst Walsall represent a tough test after beating Accrington Stanley at home priced similarly to this match.
I think it's very unlikely that Port Vale go to Walsall and win so taking the Draw No Bet option at these odds is a no brainer for me. I did consider the outright win at 2.45 but the added security makes me feel better about taking this tip!
TIP OF THE DAY #5 - Italy Serie A - 19th September [14:00]
Bologna to Win
Odds of 1.90
Bologna actually sit below Torino in the league haven't lost 3 of their opening 4 games. However, this doesn't tell the full story. Bologna have been extremely unlucky so far this season and were only really deservedly beaten in their last game against Napoli, they were unlucky to lose the others and should have more than the point they've got to show for it.
Torino on the other hand have got much more what they deserve in relation to their performances and I think with Bologna being at home it's about time they get what they deserve and get a massive 3 points to take into the International break to help them kickstart their season!
HIGH ODDS TIP OF THE DAY - England Premier League - 19th September [15:00]
Arsenal & Under 4.5 Goals
Odds of 2.00
This stands to be one of Arsenal's hardest tests so far this season with Brighton scoring more goals than anyone else in the league! However, you know the saying: "Attack wins matches, Defence wins trophies". All of Arsenal's league wins this season have gone Under 3.5 Goals due to Arsenal's incredible defence. Whilst I think it's possible Brighton score, until it happens it's hard to see Arsenal conceding more than once.
On top of that, given how fluid Arsenal have looked this season going forward I think it's logical to expect at least 2 goals from the Gunners, but even if this is a 1-0 win the tip still flies in. 19 of the last 20 meetings between the 2 sides have gone under 4.5 Goals so it seems worth the risk to add that to an Arsenal Win if you think the gunners take the 3 points here.
HIGH ODDS TIP OF THE DAY #2 - Portugal Primeira Liga - 19th September [20:30]
Sporting Win to nil
Odds of 2.00
Arouca have picked up some decent results this season but will struggle going up against one of the best teams in Portugal here. The only parallel we can draw from their recent games to this one is when they played Porto, in which they lost 2-0. I think we can expect a similar outcome here. Sporting are far superior and are at home. With this being the last game before the international break I expect there to be no trouble when it comes to picking up the 3 points and keeping a clean sheet in the process, which MASSIVELY bumps up the odds of Sporting winning from 1.19 to evens!
HIGH ODDS TIP OF THE DAY #3 - Germany Bundesliga - 19th September [17:30]
Borussia Dortmund Double Chance & BTTS
Odds of 2.00
I think we can use the fact that Dortmund are the underdogs here to our advantage! I think it's VERY likely that both teams score here given their combined firepower but Dortmund have been pretty much FLAWLESS this season whilst Stuttgart have had their ups and downs. Dortmund have won all their 3 league games whilst Stuttgart have lost twice.
Drtmund also didn't lose to Stuttgart last season so I think there is a lot of value in taking the likely BTTS option and adding it to Dortmund not to lose given they haven't lost all season (Except to Bayern in the Cup Final which they arguably could have drawn also)!
HIGH ODDS TIP OF THE DAY #4 - England Championship - 19th September [12:30]
West Ham & Over 1.5 Goals
Odds of 2.05
This is a fierce derby and promsises to be a fiesty one! At the end of the day West Ham have a better team than Millwall and honestly every other team in the Championship to be honest. Millwall threw away a 2 goal lead against Middlesbrough in the last game whilst West Ham beat Wrexham 6-0!
Honestly I seriously considered West Ham & Over 2.5 Goals at odds of 2.50 but I thought I'd keep the 2-0 win onside here, West Ham should win this one fairly comfortably and all of their games have featured over 1.5 goals this season so I think adding that to this selection is a no brainer!
HIGH ODDS TIP OF THE DAY #5 - Italy Serie A - 19th September [19:45]
Lazio to Win
Odds of 2.05
This is one of my favourite value picks for the weekend! Lazio have ben picking up wins this season when they've been playing well and even when they've not been playing so well. They face a Venezia side who can't buy a win! They are bottom of the league losing 3 of their 4 league games by MULTIPLE goals! I get that being away from home for Lazio makes it slightly less likely they win but not to the extent the odds here suggest.
I think Lazio to Win away from home at anything above 1.70 odds here against 20th place in the league is a great pick!
HIGH ODDS TIP OF THE DAY #6 - Scotland Premiership - 19th September [15:00]
Aberdeen Double Chance
Odds of 2.10
Aberdeen may have started the season off poorly but losing to Celtic and Rangers is more or less to be expected. I think they are being done a HGUE disservice here by these odds and am not sure why Hibernian are such strong favourites to win this one.
Aberdeen smashed Motherwell 4-0 last time out as underdogs and think to get odds of above evens for them just to not lost is a price worth taking. I'm not saying they're going to come here and batter Hibs but I think they can easily grab at least a point!
These two played back in April in which Aberdeen won 2-0, so it's not crazy to think they can avoid defeat on the road here.
MEGA ODDS TIP OF THE DAY - Spain La Liga - 19th September [20:00]
Barcelona & BTTS
Odds of 2.50
What can we say about Barcelona that hasn't already been said? They are one of the most exciting teams in the world! I thought a 5-2 score prediction against Santander was a decent shout but they did 2 better and won 7-2! They have the best attacking side in the world but consistently pay the price for their high line and style of play. Ultimately it doesn't matter because they simply outscore teams but it's hard to see Barcelona keeping a clean sheet here against Sevilla, a side who are also having a good start to the season and are the home team here.
Sevilla have only lost once this season and that was too Atletico, but they scored in that game as they have done in EVERY game this season. Barcelona have won and conceded in 4 of their last 5 games so think they are a GREAT price to win here and concede at way above evens rather than just taking them to win at a pitiful 1.22 odds!
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